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OBAMA FOR PRESIDENT |
IN DEFENSE OF OBAMA # 2...Issue: NOMINATION (Ranjit Singh) |
NEW YORK
May 20,08
IN DEFENSE OF OBAMA (#2)
ISSUE: NOMINATION
Who will be the Presidential nominee on behalf of the Democrats?
The Obama Campaign says assertively that it is Senator Barack Obama. The
American media and even the non-American media believe this camp.
An Indian newspaper, the Tribune Chandigarh writes in an editorial. “Obama
forges ahead, crossing barriers” It goes on to tell that it is a silver lining.
“Obama’s becoming President, or even the run-up, however, can help in a big
way the continuing assimilation process the US society has been going
through for years since the days of Martin Luther King.
“Obama’s reaching the White House will be like climbing the societal Mount
Everest in an age going through fierce debates on the “Clash of Civilisations”.
Often, there are contradictory trends in societies; it all depends who is on the
winning side.”
As opposed to the Obama Campaign, the Hillary Clinton Campaign fiercely
and forcefully challenges this assertion.
Many laymen like me are confused because both of them continue sticking to
their guns and refuse to budge, even, an inch.
Today’s status on the delegate count is like this: Senator Obama (1918),
Senator Hillary Clinton (1723). The number of delegates needed to win the
nomination is 2026. Thus, Senator Obama needs 108 more, while Senator
Clinton needs 303.
Two more primaries in Oregon and Kentucky are going on today> Three
more will follow- Puerto Rico (June 1) and Montana and South Dakota (June
3). The number of delegates at stake are Kentucky (51), Oregon (52), Puerto
Rico (55); Montana (16) and South Dakota (16), total 190.
Even if Senator Obama picks just half (95), he will have a total of 2003, just
short by 23, whereas Senator Hillary Clinton will need 208 more.
That is why, all political analysts have concluded that maths is against
Senator Clinton.
At this point, Senator Hillary Clinton makes a case for her on two points.
1st: She has more popular votes and
2nd: She has won swing states, without which no President has won so far.
She is also trying to impress upon the Party leadership to include Florida and
Michigan. She hopes to have an edge, there. In my opinion, Senator Obama
is not saying “NO” to Senator Clinton’s demand of including Florida and
Michigan, as it would antagonize the voters, there. But it will be a miracle if
the super-delegates deny nomination to Senator Obama who would be just
short of a few delegates.
In my opinion, on June 3rd, when the primaries are over, Obama will need the
support of 20 superdelegates, while Senator Hillary will need 200.I am basing
my calculations on the presumption that there is no movement on the part of
superdelegates (Just hypothetical)
On the issue of inclusion of two states, the Democratic Party wil be up
against a Himalayan size problem. Can a Party or will a Party change the
rules midway on the demand of one of the players?
If it happens, people will realize the truth behind Michelle Obama’s “Bar is
being raised” speech, on May 6, 2008 in Nort Carolina.
“They said he couldn’t win because he didn’t have an organization. Then he
built an organization, so they said he couldn’t win because he didn’t have
money. He raised money, so they said he couldn’t win because he couldn’t
win caucuses. He won caucuses, so they said he couldn’t win because he
couldn’t win primaries” ““The bar is constantly changing for this man,” she
tells us
And such a realization will be unpleasant for the American
nation.